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Heat pump or gas furnace: which heats a home for less in your state?

The cost of one million Btu of delivered heat in each state, from 2024 average residential electricity and natural gas prices published by the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Heat pump efficiency
Gas furnace efficiency

At these settings, the heat pump delivered heat for less in 8 of 51 states, and the gas furnace in 43.

Cost per million Btu of delivered heat by state, 2024. Columns can be sorted.
Alabama$18.74$18.93Heat pump less by $0.19
Alaska$30.64$11.92Gas furnace less by $18.72
Arizona$18.41$20.80Heat pump less by $2.39
Arkansas$15.21$16.35Heat pump less by $1.14
California$39.47$19.45Gas furnace less by $20.02
Colorado$18.42$10.75Gas furnace less by $7.67
Connecticut$35.49$17.10Gas furnace less by $18.39
Delaware$20.46$15.02Gas furnace less by $5.44
District of Columbia$21.86$16.75Gas furnace less by $5.11
Florida$17.46$25.78Heat pump less by $8.32
Georgia$17.38$18.48Heat pump less by $1.10
Hawaii$52.91$49.66Gas furnace less by $3.25
Idaho$14.22$8.65Gas furnace less by $5.57
Illinois$19.59$11.29Gas furnace less by $8.30
Indiana$18.23$9.65Gas furnace less by $8.58
Iowa$16.54$10.50Gas furnace less by $6.05
Kansas$17.47$13.35Gas furnace less by $4.12
Kentucky$15.79$13.83Gas furnace less by $1.96
Louisiana$14.48$16.64Heat pump less by $2.16
Maine$29.99$19.25Gas furnace less by $10.73
Maryland$22.05$16.40Gas furnace less by $5.65
Massachusetts$36.23$22.25Gas furnace less by $13.98
Michigan$23.83$10.93Gas furnace less by $12.89
Minnesota$19.07$10.82Gas furnace less by $8.25
Mississippi$16.53$15.67Gas furnace less by $0.86
Missouri$15.94$17.13Heat pump less by $1.19
Montana$15.63$8.35Gas furnace less by $7.28
Nebraska$14.23$10.80Gas furnace less by $3.43
Nevada$18.52$18.99Heat pump less by $0.47
New Hampshire$28.89$19.04Gas furnace less by $9.85
New Jersey$23.88$13.42Gas furnace less by $10.45
New Mexico$17.53$9.20Gas furnace less by $8.33
New York$30.16$16.85Gas furnace less by $13.31
North Carolina$17.44$16.68Gas furnace less by $0.76
North Dakota$14.21$9.13Gas furnace less by $5.07
Ohio$19.74$13.99Gas furnace less by $5.75
Oklahoma$15.11$14.21Gas furnace less by $0.90
Oregon$18.15$15.96Gas furnace less by $2.19
Pennsylvania$21.94$13.84Gas furnace less by $8.10
Rhode Island$35.37$22.01Gas furnace less by $13.36
South Carolina$17.57$17.18Gas furnace less by $0.39
South Dakota$15.88$9.47Gas furnace less by $6.41
Tennessee$15.33$10.92Gas furnace less by $4.41
Texas$18.44$18.27Gas furnace less by $0.17
Utah$15.09$13.36Gas furnace less by $1.72
Vermont$27.04$17.62Gas furnace less by $9.42
Virginia$17.79$15.65Gas furnace less by $2.14
Washington$14.69$12.92Gas furnace less by $1.77
West Virginia$18.60$15.50Gas furnace less by $3.10
Wisconsin$21.21$10.30Gas furnace less by $10.91
Wyoming$15.39$12.59Gas furnace less by $2.81

Dollars per million Btu of heat delivered into the home. Bars: left, gas furnace costs less;right, heat pump costs less.

How the numbers are calculated

Each figure is the fuel cost of putting one million Btu (MMBtu) of heat into a home. A heat pump's cost is the electricity price times 293.07 kWh per MMBtu, divided by its seasonal coefficient of performance (COP). COP comes from the efficiency rating: HSPF2 divided by 3.412, so HSPF2 7.5 is a COP of about 2.2 and HSPF2 8.1 about 2.4. A gas furnace's cost is the gas price divided by 1.036 MMBtu per thousand cubic feet, then by its AFUE. Electric resistance heat (baseboard or an electric furnace) has a COP of 1, so it costs about 2.2 to 2.4 times the heat pump figure in the same state.

What this comparison leaves out

  • HSPF2 is measured for a moderate climate. In places with long stretches below freezing, a heat pump delivers less heat per kWh than its rating, so its real cost per MMBtu is higher than shown; cold-climate models narrow that gap.
  • Prices are statewide annual averages. Your utility, your rate plan and time-of-use pricing can move either fuel well away from them.
  • It compares fuel cost only. Equipment and installation cost, the fixed monthly charge on a gas account, and the value of a heat pump also replacing your air conditioner are not included.
  • It does not include incentive programs, which vary by state and utility and change often.

For a decision about your own home, compare these figures with your actual rates and ask a contractor to size the equipment with a load calculation. Our guides to heat pump installation and furnace installation cover what each job involves. To turn these figures into a yearly estimate for your home, use the heating cost calculator.

Sources

Prices retrieved October 2026. Figures are recalculated in your browser when you change the efficiency settings.

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